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Looking at the ATR(1) you see that 585 pips was the biggest single week
during that 5 year period. Looking across most of the other tops you get the
sense that the Usual weekly Maximum (UwM) would be approximately 425
pips. Getting the AwR is quite easy because the end of the line points right at
the number in your ATR(104). Obviously the AwR is 244.
To find the Usual monthly Maximum simply call up the monthly chart over
the past 10 years of the currency pair of interest. For this example we’ll
continue looking at EUR/USD.
Set up an ATR to show one period and a second ATR to show 48 periods
(four years average). Your chart should look something like this:
Without much explanation (it should be obvious to you by now), I would use
775 for my UmM and my AmR is 496.
Summary of Data
From all of our examples we now know the following information for the
currency pair EUR/USD.
UdM = ~ 200 pips
AdR = 112 pips
UwM = 425 pips
AwR = 244 pips
UmM = 775
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AmR = 496
Please remember that the above figures are correct at the time of this writing
and may not be at all accurate by the time you will be reading this. Please
repeat the procedures to find all of these numbers for EUR/USD yourself in
addition to any other currency pair of interest to you.
Here are a few more words about finding the Usual Maximums. This isn’t an
exact figure but really just an eyeball – if you really want to you could take
the average of the say the 10 or 15 highest peaks (this would generally yield a
higher number than the one you’d “eyeball”), but ultimately an exact number
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